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PRMIA Operational Risk Manager (ORM) Sample Questions:
1. The probability of default of a security over a 1 year period is 3%. What is the probability that it would have defaulted within 6 months?
A) 3.00%
B) 98.49%
C) 17.32%
D) 1.51%
2. Which of the following formulae describes CVA (Credit Valuation Adjustment)? All acronyms have their usual meanings (LGD=Loss Given Default, ENE=Expected Negative Exposure, EE=Expected Exposure, PD=Probability of Default, EPE=Expected Positive Exposure, PFE=Potential Future Exposure)
A) LGD * PFE * PD
B) LGD * EPE * PD
C) LGD * EE * PD
D) LGD * ENE * PD
3. Which of the following statements are true:
I. Pre-settlement risk is the risk that one of the parties to a contract might default prior to the maturity date or expiry of the contract.
II. Pre-settlement risk can be partly mitigated by providing for early settlement in the agreements between the counterparties.
III. The current exposure from an OTC derivatives contract is equivalent to its current replacement value.
IV. Loan equivalent exposures are calculated even for exposures that are not loans as a practical matter for calculating credit risk exposure.
A) I, II, III and IV
B) II and IV
C) III and IV
D) II and III
4. A cumulative accuracy plot:
A) measures rating accuracy
B) is a measure of the correctness of VaR calculations
C) measures accuracy of default probabilities observed empirically
D) measures the accuracy of credit risk estimates
5. Which of the following steps are required for computing the aggregate distribution for a UoM for operational risk once loss frequency and severity curves have been estimated:
I. Simulate number of losses based on the frequency distribution
II. Simulate the dollar value of the losses from the severity distribution III. Simulate random number from the copula used to model dependence between the UoMs IV. Compute dependent losses from aggregate distribution curves
A) None of the above
B) I and II
C) All of the above
D) III and IV
Solutions:
Question # 1 Answer: D | Question # 2 Answer: B | Question # 3 Answer: A | Question # 4 Answer: A | Question # 5 Answer: B |
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