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PRMIA Operational Risk Manager (ORM) Sample Questions:

1. The largest 10 lossesover a 250 day observation period are as follows. Calculate the expected shortfall at a
98% confidence level:
20m
19m
19m
17m
16m
13m
11m
10m
9m
9m

A) 14.3
B) 16
C) 18.2
D) 19.5

2. Which of the following statements are true:
I. Capital adequacy implies the ability of a firm to remain a going concern II. Regulatory capital and economic capital are identical as they target the same objectives III. The role of economic capital is to provide a buffer against expected losses IV. Conservative estimates of economic capital are based upon a confidence level of 100%

A) I, III and IV
B) I and III
C) III
D) I

3. Which of the following are valid approaches to calculating potential future exposure (PFE) forcounterparty risk:
I. Add a percentage of the notional to the mark-to-market value
II. Monte Carlo simulation
III. Maximum Likelihood Estimation
IV. Parametric Estimation

A) I, III and IV
B) I and II
C) All of the able
D) III and IV

4. Which of the following are valid criticisms of value at risk:
I. There are many risks that a VaR framework cannot model
II. VaR does not considerliquidity risk
III. VaR does not account for historical market movements
IV. VaR does not consider the risk of contagion

A) I and III
B) I, II and IV
C) II and IV
D) All of the above

5. There are three bonds in a diversified bond portfolio, whose default probabilities are independent of each other and equal to 1%, 2% and 3% respectively over a 1 year time horizon. Calculate the probability that none of the three bonds will default.

A) 2%
B) 0.11%
C) 0.0006%
D) 94%

Solutions: